Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.395698 0.433057 0.472951 0.518818 0.570213 0.626161 0.691853
2026-01-11 0.335997 0.388372 0.448161 0.521880 0.610895 0.715622 0.849215
2026-01-18 0.300367 0.360074 0.431368 0.523608 0.640997 0.787052 0.985123
2026-01-25 0.275999 0.340597 0.420567 0.528166 0.671196 0.857736 1.124385
2026-02-01 0.250732 0.316687 0.400743 0.517518 0.678436 0.896771 1.223214
2026-02-08 0.234890 0.303028 0.392210 0.519837 0.701748 0.958015 1.358155
2026-02-15 0.219303 0.288149 0.380371 0.515829 0.714774 1.004651 1.475514
2026-02-22 0.207840 0.277807 0.373591 0.517797 0.735749 1.063861 1.617898
2026-03-01 0.195247 0.264880 0.362032 0.511502 0.743219 1.102400 1.730592
2026-03-08 0.183561 0.252397 0.350103 0.503435 0.746773 1.134369 1.835077
2026-03-15 0.171018 0.237871 0.334174 0.487916 0.736930 1.143152 1.899428
2026-03-22 0.166338 0.234544 0.334542 0.497494 0.768011 1.222345 2.099393
2026-03-29 0.160936 0.229924 0.332799 0.503814 0.794643 1.297340 2.303549
2026-04-05 0.155121 0.224339 0.329204 0.506828 0.815871 1.364946 2.503213
2026-04-12 0.149486 0.218673 0.325065 0.508494 0.834653 1.429648 2.705885
2026-04-19 0.144882 0.214336 0.322717 0.512893 0.858483 1.505954 2.943939
2026-04-26 0.137594 0.205353 0.312313 0.502618 0.854463 1.527858 3.066106
2026-05-03 0.133328 0.200990 0.309212 0.504856 0.873858 1.597840 3.307321
2026-05-10 0.128190 0.194947 0.302960 0.500988 0.881154 1.643774 3.499178
2026-05-17 0.124460 0.191022 0.300036 0.502887 0.899703 1.714870 3.763391
2026-05-24 0.119556 0.184914 0.293052 0.496811 0.901817 1.750885 3.945128
2026-05-31 0.114664 0.178613 0.285421 0.489025 0.899795 1.777530 4.106780
2026-06-07 0.108869 0.170547 0.274339 0.474043 0.881794 1.766614 4.165921